2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Kansas State at Arizona State
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Mountain America Stadium
Kansas State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 9.2
- National rank
- 34
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Arizona State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.9
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Kansas State
52%
Arizona State
48%
Arizona State 90% CI: 39% – 57% Δ rating 4.3
Kansas State is the model's favorite at 52%. Arizona State has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Arizona State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kansas State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arizona State offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Mountain America Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No