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Conference game

BYU at Utah

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM EST

GIE win probability

BYU 35% Underdog
Utah 65% Favorite
Utah 90% CI
56–73%
Δ rating
Utah +1.3

Utah is the model's favorite at 65%. BYU has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Utah — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

BYU offense Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Utah offense 34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup