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Utah

Utes · Big 12

GIE rank
#2
of 138 FBS
Rating
1833
2026 Week 11
Record
8-0
2026 season
Proj record
11-1
12-game season

Head coach Morgan Scalley Year 1 with Utah

Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
11.0
3.0 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
9 to 12
Final rank (90%)
#2 (1–5)
Make playoff
100%
Win conference
87%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Utah's playoff odds. Make playoff 100%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 4 vs Idaho Sun Belt Win, 66-14 Final
Wk 2 Sep 13 vs Arkansas SEC Win, 43-10 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs Utah State Pac-12 Win, 33-0 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 at Iowa State Big 12 Win, 31-17 Final
Wk 5 Bye
Wk 6 Oct 11 vs Kansas Big 12 Win, 41-24 Final
Wk 7 Oct 18 at Colorado Big 12 Win, 27-24 Final
Wk 8 Oct 25 vs Houston Big 12 Win, 21-13 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 at Cincinnati Big 12 Win, 49-25 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 vs BYU Big 12 Win probability: 62%
Wk 11 Nov 14 at Arizona Big 12 Win probability: 48%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at TCU Big 12 Win probability: 70%
Wk 13 Nov 28 vs West Virginia Big 12 Win probability: 93%

Latest stories

Stories about Utah will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Devon Dampier

GIE projects a 5.2 rating drop and a 20.8pp shift in playoff probability if Utah loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

67 score

  • Quarterback 100% (2/5)
  • Offensive line 56% (10/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 51% (15/33)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 43% (19/32)
  • Secondary 43% (14/22)
  • Special teams 100% (3/6)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+0.5 rating

18 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Utah incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Braden PeganWR From Utah State Utah State 171
Ethan DayDE From North Texas North Texas 158
Kyri ShoelsWR From San José State San José State 140
Elijah ReedCB From Akron Akron 114
James Chenault Jr.CB From South Florida South Florida 84
Steve Chavez-SotoRB From San José State San José State 65

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 50.0%
    99th — elite
  • Red-zone TD rate 15.6%
    60th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 44.3%
    84th — strong
  • Late & close 7.9 yds/play
    94th — elite

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.