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2026 Week 12 · Conference game

Oklahoma State at Arizona State

Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Mountain America Stadium

Oklahoma State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
6.9
National rank
39
Proj. wins
2.6
Playoff prob.
0%
Arizona State
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
4.9
National rank
51
Proj. wins
5.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Oklahoma State
45%
Arizona State
55%
Arizona State 90% CI: 46% – 64% Δ rating 2.0

Arizona State is the model's favorite at 55%. Oklahoma State has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Arizona State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Oklahoma State offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Arizona State offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Mountain America Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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