Conference game
Arizona State at Arizona
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Arizona State 10% Underdog
Arizona 90% Favorite
Arizona is the model's favorite at 90%. Arizona State has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Arizona — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arizona State offense
31 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Arizona offense
Higher fit 33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup