Wildcats · Big 12
Head coach Brent Brennan Year 3 with Arizona
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs Utah | 87% | 0% | +87pp |
| at Kansas State | 87% | 0% | +86pp |
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 6 | vs Northern Arizona Non-FBS | Win, 35-7 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at BYU Big 12 | Loss, 17-28 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 20 | vs Northern Illinois Mountain West | Win, 42-17 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Washington State Pac-12 | Win, 34-24 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 4 | vs Cincinnati Big 12 | Win, 34-7 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at West Virginia Big 12 | Win, 52-31 Final |
| Wk 7 | Bye | |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs Iowa State Big 12 | Win, 39-3 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | at Texas Tech Big 12 | Loss, 26-34 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs TCU Big 12 | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs Utah Big 12 | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Kansas State Big 12 | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Arizona State Big 12 | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
66 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
+0.1 rating
23 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Everett Roussaw Jr.LB From Memphis | Memphis | 112 |
| Lee Molette IIIS From UConn | UConn | 97 |
| Cole RuskTE From Illinois | Illinois | 85 |
| Antwan Roberts Jr.RB From Marshall | Marshall | 80 |
| Rodney Gallagher IIIWR From West Virginia | West Virginia | 59 |
| Tyrese BossCB From Wyoming | Wyoming | 57 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
