Conference game
Arizona at Kansas State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Arizona 63% Favorite
Kansas State 37% Underdog
Arizona is the model's favorite at 63%. Kansas State has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.1 rating points baked in for Kansas State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arizona offense
Higher fit 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Kansas State offense
30 / 100 Style-neutral matchup