Conference game
Kansas State at Iowa State
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Kansas State 60% Favorite
Iowa State 40% Underdog
Kansas State is the model's favorite at 60%. Iowa State has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.7 rating points baked in for Iowa State — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kansas State offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Iowa State offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup