2026 Week 1
UCLA at California
Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
California Memorial Stadium
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.4
- National rank
- 46
- Proj. wins
- 3.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
California
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.0
- National rank
- 59
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCLA
42%
California
58%
California 90% CI: 49% – 67% Δ rating 2.4
California is the model's favorite at 58%. UCLA has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.1 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCLA offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
California offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
58°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
7 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- California Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No