Missouri State at SMU
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 9:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Missouri State | 10 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 24 |
 SMU Winner | 0 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: SMU at 99%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Missouri State 1% Underdog
SMU 99% Favorite
SMU is the model's favorite at 99%. Missouri State has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for SMU — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.