California at UNLV
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 California | 7 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 31 |
 UNLV Winner | 7 | 17 | 0 | 15 | 39 |
GIE pre-game call: UNLV at 72%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
California 28% Underdog
UNLV 72% Favorite
UNLV is the model's favorite at 72%. California has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for UNLV — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.