2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Syracuse at Virginia
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Scott Stadium
Syracuse
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.9
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 2.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 8.1
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 9.0
- Playoff prob.
- 13%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Syracuse
17%
Virginia
83%
Virginia 90% CI: 76% – 87% Δ rating 10.0
Virginia is the model's favorite at 83%. Syracuse has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Syracuse offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Virginia offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Scott Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No