Conference game
Syracuse at NC State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Syracuse 33% Underdog
NC State 67% Favorite
NC State is the model's favorite at 67%. Syracuse has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for NC State — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Syracuse offense
38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
NC State offense
Higher fit 44 / 100 Style-neutral matchup