Conference game

Pittsburgh at California

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Pittsburgh 81% Favorite

California 19% Underdog

Pittsburgh 90% CI: 75–86%
Δ rating: Pittsburgh +16.1

Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 81%. California has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.5 rating points baked in for California — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

Pittsburgh and California compared
Measure	Pittsburgh ACC	California ACC
Record	6-3	3-6
Rating	7.9	−8.2
National rank	44	101
Proj. wins	7.7	4.1
Playoff prob.	0%	0%

Game info

Venue: California Memorial Stadium
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: No

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Pittsburgh offense 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup

California offense Higher fit 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup