2026 Week 1
North Texas at Indiana
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
Indiana
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 25.8
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 100%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Texas
1%
Indiana
99%
Indiana 90% CI: 99% – 100% Δ rating 37.4
Indiana is the model's favorite at 99%. North Texas has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Indiana — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Texas offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Indiana offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
98°F
Precipitation
11%
Wind
8 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No