North Texas at Indiana
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 North Texas | 0 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 16 |
 Indiana Winner | 14 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 52 |
GIE pre-game call: Indiana at 97%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
North Texas 3% Underdog
Indiana 97% Favorite
Indiana is the model's favorite at 97%. North Texas has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Indiana — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- North Texas recap North Texas: 2026 Week 11 recap North Texas sits at 6–2 with a rating of –0.6, holding rank 72 overall. The Mean Green's most recent outing—a 48–41 home win over Florida Atlantic in Week 9—kept them firmly in contention, though GIE projects them for 8.6 expected wins,…
- Indiana recap Indiana: 2026 Week 11 recap Indiana sits at No. 6 overall with an 8–1 record and a GIE rating of 24.2, holding steady after last week's 23–16 home win over Minnesota. The Hoosiers have built real equity—a 91% playoff probability reflects their consistency—but…