Hoosiers · Big Ten
Head coach Curt Cignetti Year 3 with Indiana
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Washington | 100% | 21% | +79pp |
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs North Texas American Athletic | Win, 52-16 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Howard Non-FBS | Win, 55-0 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs Western Kentucky Conference USA | Win, 38-0 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Northwestern Big Ten | Win, 29-23 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 4 | at Rutgers Big Ten | Win, 47-15 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at Nebraska Big Ten | Win, 20-17 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs Ohio State Big Ten | Loss, 15-19 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at Michigan Big Ten | Win, 13-6 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Minnesota Big Ten | Win, 23-16 Final |
| Wk 10 | Bye | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs USC Big Ten | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Washington Big Ten | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Purdue Big Ten | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
34 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
+1.1 rating
18 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Josh HooverQB From TCU | TCU | 144 |
| Turbo RichardRB From Boston College | Boston College | 134 |
| Shazz PrestonWR From Tulane | Tulane | 132 |
| Nick MarshWR From Michigan State | Michigan State | 123 |
| Tobi OsunsanmiDL From Kansas State | Kansas State | 111 |
| Chiddi ObiazorDL From Kansas State | Kansas State | 97 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
