Conference game

Purdue at Indiana

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Purdue 3% Underdog

Indiana 97% Favorite

Indiana 90% CI: 95–98%
Δ rating: Indiana +24.0

Indiana is the model's favorite at 97%. Purdue has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Indiana — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

Purdue and Indiana compared
Measure	Purdue Big Ten	Indiana Big Ten
Record	3-5	8-1
Rating	0.2	24.2
National rank	69	6
Proj. wins	4.3	10.2
Playoff prob.	0%	91%

Game info

Venue: Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: No

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Purdue offense 31 / 100 Style-neutral matchup

Indiana offense Higher fit 45 / 100 Style-neutral matchup