2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Northwestern at Indiana
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Indiana
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 25.8
- National rank
- 5
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 100%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Northwestern
5%
Indiana
95%
Indiana 90% CI: 93% – 96% Δ rating 20.7
Indiana is the model's favorite at 95%. Northwestern has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Indiana — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northwestern offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Indiana offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No