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Northern Illinois at Iowa

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:15 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
Northern Illinois 0000 0
Iowa Winner 201370 40

GIE pre-game call: Iowa at 99%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

Northern Illinois 1% Underdog
Iowa 99% Favorite
Iowa 90% CI
99–100%
Δ rating
Iowa +37.8

Iowa is the model's favorite at 99%. Northern Illinois has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps