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2026 Week 1

Ohio at Nebraska

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC

Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Ohio
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-11.8
National rank
109
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Nebraska
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
9.3
National rank
33
Proj. wins
5.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Ohio
5%
Nebraska
95%
Nebraska 90% CI: 93% – 97% Δ rating 21.1

Nebraska is the model's favorite at 95%. Ohio has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Nebraska — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Ohio offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Nebraska offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
106°F
Precipitation
2%
Wind
11 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Venue
Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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