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Ohio

Bobcats · Mid-American

GIE rank
#46
of 138 FBS
Rating
1621
2026 Week 11
Record
6-2
2026 season
Proj record
9-3
12-game season

Head coach John Hauser Year 1 with Ohio

Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
8.8
2.8 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
7 to 10
Final rank (90%)
#43 (29–62)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
31%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Ohio's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 at Nebraska Big Ten Loss, 21-49 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Jacksonville State Conference USA Win, 29-27 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at South Alabama Sun Belt Loss, 36-41 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs Stonehill Non-FBS Win, 35-7 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Kent State Mid-American Win, 13-10 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Central Michigan Mid-American Win, 31-14 Final
Wk 7 Oct 18 at Sacramento State Mid-American Win, 48-7 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 vs Eastern Michigan Mid-American Win, 24-20 Final
Wk 9 Bye
Wk 10 Nov 4 at Akron Mid-American Win probability: 93%
Wk 11 Nov 11 at Miami (OH) Mid-American Win probability: 51%
Wk 12 Nov 18 vs Ball State Mid-American Win probability: 93%
Wk 13 Nov 27 vs Toledo Mid-American Win probability: 47%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Ohio: 2026 Week 11 recap

    Ohio sits at 6–2 with a rating of –1.5, holding rank 78 overall—a position unchanged from last week despite the Week 8 home win over Eastern Michigan (24–20). The stagnant rating reflects a team treading water: solid on the surface but…

  • Recap

    Ohio: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Ohio scraped past Kent State 13–10 in Week 5, but the Bobcats remain stuck at a –10.5 rating and rank 109th in GIE's assessment heading into Week 7. The win didn't budge the needle because the performance itself is fragile: a red-zone TD…

  • Recap

    Ohio: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Ohio sits at 0–1 after a Week 1 road loss to Nebraska that revealed early-season execution problems. The Bobcats managed only 21 points against a dominant opponent, and the rating hasn't budged at –11.8—GIE sees the defeat as consistent…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

83 score

  • Quarterback 100% (6/6)
  • Offensive line 83% (15/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 61% (25/29)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 76% (25/28)
  • Secondary 83% (21/23)
  • Special teams 87% (6/8)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−1.1 rating

16 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Ohio incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Matt VezzaQB From New Hampshire New Hampshire 68
Victor RosaRB From UConn UConn 42
Eli ThompsonS From Holy Cross Holy Cross 37
Darren James-HamiltonS From Elon Elon 23
KJ SejourCB From Chattanooga Chattanooga 12
Cam CopeS From Dayton Dayton 3

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 38.8%
    64th — average
  • Red-zone TD rate 23.7%
    97th — elite
  • 4th-down aggression 44.8%
    85th — strong
  • Late & close 4.4 yds/play
    28th — below avg

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.