2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Ohio at Sacramento State
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Hornet Stadium
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.8
- National rank
- 109
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Sacramento State
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- -23.4
- National rank
- 131
- Proj. wins
- 7.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio
76%
Sacramento State
24%
Sacramento State 90% CI: 18% – 32% Δ rating 11.6
Ohio is the model's favorite at 76%. Sacramento State has a 24% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Sacramento State.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Sacramento State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Hornet Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No