2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Ball State at Ohio
Wednesday, November 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Peden Stadium
Ball State
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -25.1
- National rank
- 133
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.8
- National rank
- 109
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ball State
13%
Ohio
87%
Ohio 90% CI: 83% – 91% Δ rating 13.3
Ohio is the model's favorite at 87%. Ball State has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for Ohio — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ball State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ohio offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, November 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Peden Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No