2026 Week 2
Jacksonville State at Ohio
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Peden Stadium
Jacksonville State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- -7.8
- National rank
- 95
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Ohio
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.8
- National rank
- 109
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Jacksonville State
56%
Ohio
44%
Ohio 90% CI: 35% – 54% Δ rating 4.0
Jacksonville State is the model's favorite at 56%. Ohio has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for Ohio — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Jacksonville State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Ohio offense
37 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
72°F
Precipitation
10%
Wind
8 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Peden Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No