2026 Week 2
San Diego State at UCLA
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:15 PM UTC
Rose Bowl
San Diego State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.7
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 7.2
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.4
- National rank
- 46
- Proj. wins
- 3.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
San Diego State
30%
UCLA
70%
UCLA 90% CI: 62% – 78% Δ rating 4.7
UCLA is the model's favorite at 70%. San Diego State has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San Diego State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
69°F
Precipitation
1%
Wind
2 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:15 PM UTC
- Venue
- Rose Bowl
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No