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Conference game

Iowa at Michigan

Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
Iowa Winner 70013 20
Michigan 7336 19

GIE pre-game call: Iowa at 51%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

Iowa 51% Favorite
Michigan 49% Underdog
Iowa 90% CI
41–60%
Δ rating
Iowa +0.9

Iowa is the model's favorite at 51%. Michigan has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.6 rating points baked in for Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=65 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.