Conference game
Penn State at Northwestern
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Penn State | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 13 |
 Northwestern Winner | 10 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: Northwestern at 74%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Penn State 26% Underdog
Northwestern 74% Favorite
Northwestern is the model's favorite at 74%. Penn State has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.0 rating points baked in for Northwestern — venue-specific learned value (n=3 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.