Conference game
Penn State at Michigan
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Penn State | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 |
 Michigan Winner | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 21 |
GIE pre-game call: Michigan at 59%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Penn State 41% Underdog
Michigan 59% Favorite
Michigan is the model's favorite at 59%. Penn State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.6 rating points baked in for Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=65 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Penn State recap Penn State: 2026 Week 7 recap Penn State sits at No. 15 with a 3–2 record after a lopsided 34–13 loss to Northwestern in Week 5. The rating held steady at 16.9, suggesting GIE views this setback as in line with where the Nittany Lions actually stand. The troubling…
- Michigan recap Michigan: 2026 Week 7 recap Michigan sits at 22nd overall with a 3–2 record after dropping last week's road matchup to Minnesota 20–14. The rating holds steady at 14.3, suggesting the loss confirmed what GIE already knew: the Wolverines are treading water in a…