2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Iowa at Northwestern
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Ryan Field
Iowa
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 14.6
- National rank
- 22
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 44%
Northwestern
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa
71%
Northwestern
29%
Northwestern 90% CI: 22% – 38% Δ rating 9.5
Iowa is the model's favorite at 71%. Northwestern has a 29% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Northwestern.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northwestern offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ryan Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No