Conference game
Iowa at Northwestern
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Iowa 34% Underdog
Northwestern 66% Favorite
Northwestern is the model's favorite at 66%. Iowa has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.0 rating points baked in for Northwestern — venue-specific learned value (n=3 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa offense
Higher fit 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Northwestern offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup