Conference game
Purdue at Iowa
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Purdue 14% Underdog
Iowa 86% Favorite
Iowa is the model's favorite at 86%. Purdue has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Iowa — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Purdue offense
33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Iowa offense
Higher fit 43 / 100 Style-neutral matchup