Conference game
Minnesota at Wisconsin
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 7:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Minnesota 21% Underdog
Wisconsin 79% Favorite
Wisconsin is the model's favorite at 79%. Minnesota has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.7 rating points baked in for Wisconsin — venue-specific night-game value (n=60 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Minnesota offense
37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Wisconsin offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup