2026 Week 2
Rice at Notre Dame
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Notre Dame Stadium
Rice
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.3
- National rank
- 120
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 26.5
- National rank
- 3
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 93%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Rice
0%
Notre Dame
100%
Notre Dame 90% CI: 99% – 100% Δ rating 41.8
Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 100%. Rice has a 0% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Notre Dame — venue-specific learned value (n=64 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Rice offense
20 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Notre Dame offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
85°F
Precipitation
11%
Wind
8 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Notre Dame Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No