2026 Week 2
Memphis at Boise State
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Albertsons Stadium
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 0.3
- National rank
- 67
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Memphis
29%
Boise State
71%
Boise State 90% CI: 63% – 78% Δ rating 4.8
Boise State is the model's favorite at 71%. Memphis has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Boise State — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Memphis offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Boise State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
59°F
Precipitation
3%
Wind
6 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Albertsons Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No