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Memphis

Tigers · American Athletic

GIE rank
#31
of 138 FBS
Rating
1659
2026 Week 11
Record
7-2
2026 season
Proj record
9-3
12-game season

Head coach Charles Huff Year 1 with Memphis

Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
9.1
2.1 more wins in 3 left
Win range (90%)
8 to 10
Final rank (90%)
#32 (21–46)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
8%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Memphis's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Aug 30 at UNLV Mountain West Win, 27-21 Final
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Arkansas State Sun Belt Win, 42-24 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 at Boise State Pac-12 Loss, 20-38 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs UT Martin Non-FBS Win, 45-21 Final
Wk 4 Bye
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Charlotte American Athletic Win, 59-8 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs UAB American Athletic Win, 38-13 Final
Wk 7 Oct 16 at Tulane American Athletic Loss, 17-31 Final
Wk 8 Oct 22 vs East Carolina American Athletic Win, 41-34 Final
Wk 9 Nov 1 vs Army American Athletic Win, 49-22 Final
Wk 10 Bye
Wk 11 Nov 13 at South Florida American Athletic Win probability: 57%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at Navy American Athletic Win probability: 68%
Wk 13 Nov 27 vs Temple American Athletic Win probability: 90%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Memphis: 2026 Week 11 recap

    Memphis sits at 7–2 after a dominant 49–22 win over Army in Week 9, holding a rating of 7 and ranking 46th per GIE. The Tigers haven't budged in the model's assessment—their rating stayed flat week-over-week—suggesting that dominance…

  • Recap

    Memphis: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Memphis sits at 63rd overall with a 4–1 record after demolishing Charlotte 59–8 in Week 5, though GIE's rating held steady at 2.3. The Tigers have built real equity in the American Athletic—they're projected to win 8.4 games and own a 27%…

  • Recap

    Memphis: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Memphis sits at 2–0 with a 42–24 Week 1 win over Arkansas State, but GIE's rating hasn't budged—the model holds them at 67th nationally with a 0.3 rating, suggesting the Tigers haven't impressed on the underlying metrics yet. The film…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

6 score

  • Quarterback 0% (1/5)
  • Offensive line 15% (3/20) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 7% (5/30)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 7% (6/35)
  • Secondary 3% (10/25)
  • Special teams 0% (1/6)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+1.8 rating

54 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Memphis incoming transfers
Player From Impact
J'Mond TappDL From Southern Miss Southern Miss 236
Ian FosterS From Southern Miss Southern Miss 181
Hunter TiptonTE From Middle Tennessee Middle Tennessee 161
Mike MontgomeryLB From Southern Miss Southern Miss 138
Ahmere FosterS From Southern Miss Southern Miss 95
Anthony Richard Jr.CB From Southern Miss Southern Miss 92

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 38.1%
    59th — average
  • Red-zone TD rate 21.5%
    93th — elite
  • 4th-down aggression 37.8%
    59th — average
  • Late & close 5.6 yds/play
    66th — average

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.