2026 Week 8 · Conference game
East Carolina at Memphis
Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 0.3
- National rank
- 67
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
East Carolina
37%
Memphis
63%
Memphis 90% CI: 53% – 71% Δ rating 2.6
Memphis is the model's favorite at 63%. East Carolina has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Memphis — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Memphis offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No