2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Memphis at South Florida
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Raymond James Stadium
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 0.3
- National rank
- 67
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.7
- National rank
- 74
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Memphis
51%
South Florida
49%
South Florida 90% CI: 40% – 58% Δ rating 2.0
Memphis is the model's favorite at 51%. South Florida has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for South Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Memphis offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
South Florida offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 13, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Raymond James Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No