2026 Week 4
Oregon State at UTEP
Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
Sun Bowl
Oregon State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 89
- Proj. wins
- 2.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UTEP
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -19.3
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Oregon State
83%
UTEP
17%
UTEP 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 13.7
Oregon State is the model's favorite at 83%. UTEP has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for UTEP — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UTEP offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 1:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Sun Bowl
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No