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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Washington State at San Diego State

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Snapdragon Stadium

Washington State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
-4.3
National rank
86
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%
San Diego State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
0.7
National rank
65
Proj. wins
7.2
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Washington State
30%
San Diego State
70%
San Diego State 90% CI: 61% – 77% Δ rating 5.0

San Diego State is the model's favorite at 70%. Washington State has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Washington State offense
32 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

San Diego State offense
32 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Snapdragon Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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