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2026 Week 11 · Conference game

Oregon State at Boise State

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Albertsons Stadium

Oregon State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
-5.6
National rank
89
Proj. wins
2.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Boise State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
5.1
National rank
49
Proj. wins
5.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Oregon State
16%
Boise State
84%
Boise State 90% CI: 78% – 88% Δ rating 10.7

Boise State is the model's favorite at 84%. Oregon State has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Boise State — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Oregon State offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Boise State offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Albertsons Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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