Conference game
Oregon State at Boise State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 6:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Oregon State 28% Underdog
Boise State 72% Favorite
Boise State is the model's favorite at 72%. Oregon State has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Boise State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon State offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Boise State offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup