2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Colorado State at Fresno State
Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
Valley Children's Stadium
Colorado State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.4
- National rank
- 73
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado State
17%
Fresno State
83%
Fresno State 90% CI: 77% – 88% Δ rating 10.2
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 83%. Colorado State has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Fresno State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Fresno State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, November 22, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Valley Children's Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No