Old Dominion at UConn
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 3:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Old Dominion 11% Underdog
UConn 89% Favorite
UConn is the model's favorite at 89%. Old Dominion has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for UConn — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Old Dominion offense
Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
UConn offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup