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UConn

Huskies · FBS Independents

GIE rank
#61
of 138 FBS
Rating
1573
2026 Week 11
Record
4-4
2026 season
Proj record
6-6
12-game season

Head coach Jason Candle Year 1 with UConn

Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W11 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
6.3
2.3 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
5 to 8
Final rank (90%)
#61 (43–77)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes UConn's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Lafayette Non-FBS Win, 56-7 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Maryland Big Ten Loss, 14-38 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Southern Miss Sun Belt Win, 48-20 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 at Miami (OH) Mid-American Loss, 21-24 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Syracuse ACC Loss, 41-42 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 at Temple American Athletic Win, 34-20 Final
Wk 7 Bye
Wk 8 Oct 23 vs Massachusetts Mid-American Win, 35-16 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 at Air Force Mountain West Loss, 26-35 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 vs North Carolina ACC Win probability: 48%
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs James Madison Sun Belt Win probability: 28%
Wk 12 Nov 21 vs Old Dominion Sun Belt Win probability: 90%
Wk 13 Nov 28 at Wyoming Mountain West Win probability: 67%

Latest stories

Stories about UConn will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Joe Fagnano

GIE projects a -6.2 rating drop and a -24.8pp shift in playoff probability if UConn loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

9 score

  • Quarterback 1% (2/5)
  • Offensive line 37% (7/19) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 4% (8/34)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 4% (7/31)
  • Secondary 2% (4/22)
  • Special teams 1% (2/7)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+1.5 rating

57 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

UConn incoming transfers
Player From Impact
K'Von ShermanLB From Toledo Toledo 184
Anas LuqmanDL From Ohio Ohio 145
Kenji ChristianRB From Toledo Toledo 101
Esean CarterDT From Toledo Toledo 91
Jayden DavisDB From Fresno State Fresno State 77
Moussa KaneDB From Duke Duke 77

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 38.2%
    60th — average
  • Red-zone TD rate 17.2%
    73th — strong
  • 4th-down aggression 30.6%
    23th — bottom tier
  • Late & close 6.2 yds/play
    77th — strong

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.