2026 Week 4
UConn at Miami (OH)
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Yager Stadium
UConn
FBS Independents
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.9
- National rank
- 110
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.0
- National rank
- 85
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UConn
24%
Miami (OH)
76%
Miami (OH) 90% CI: 69% – 82% Δ rating 7.9
Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 76%. UConn has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Miami (OH) — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UConn offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Miami (OH) offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Yager Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No