Conference game
Tulane at Rice
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Tulane 54% Favorite
Rice 46% Underdog
Tulane is the model's favorite at 54%. Rice has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.6 rating points baked in for Rice — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulane offense
Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Rice offense
30 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup