Nevada at Middle Tennessee
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nevada | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
 Middle Tennessee Winner | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 27 |
GIE pre-game call: Nevada at 81%. Miss
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Nevada 81% Favorite
Middle Tennessee 19% Underdog
Nevada is the model's favorite at 81%. Middle Tennessee has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.4 rating points baked in for Middle Tennessee — venue-specific night-game value (n=45 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Nevada recap Nevada: 2026 Week 3 recap Nevada sits at 108th in GIE's ratings after a dominant 49–14 win over Western Kentucky in Week 1, but the rating hasn't budged since—a sign the model views that result as baseline rather than transformative. The Wolf Pack's red-zone…
- Middle Tennessee recap Middle Tennessee: 2026 Week 3 recap Middle Tennessee sits at 1–0 after a dominant 38–14 win over Murray State in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—the model sees the victory as expected rather than transformative. The Blue Raiders rank 135th nationally at –26.5, a…