Wolf Pack · Mountain West
Head coach Jeff Choate Year 3 with Nevada
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes Nevada's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 6 | vs Western Kentucky Conference USA | Win, 49-14 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 13 | vs Montana State Non-FBS | Loss, 7-20 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at Middle Tennessee Conference USA | Loss, 20-27 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 27 | vs Air Force Mountain West | Loss, 33-36 Final |
| Wk 5 | Bye | |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at UTEP Mountain West | Win, 30-13 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at North Dakota State Mountain West | Loss, 17-31 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs San José State Mountain West | Win, 28-13 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | at UCLA Big Ten | Loss, 0-27 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs New Mexico Mountain West | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Northern Illinois Mountain West | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs Hawai'i Mountain West | |
| Wk 13 Nov 29 | at UNLV Mountain West | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -0.1 rating drop and a -0.5pp shift in playoff probability if Nevada loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=3 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
41 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−0.7 rating
17 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Jaceon DossWR From Towson | Towson | 60 |
| Jeremy Naborne-OwensLB From Colorado State | Colorado State | 59 |
| Joshua ScottDB From Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan | 56 |
| Donnie CheersWR From Southeast Missouri State | Southeast Missouri State | 53 |
| Larry Turner-GoodenDB From San José State | San José State | 47 |
| Poasa UtuLB From Oklahoma State | Oklahoma State | 27 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
