Conference game
Hawai'i at Nevada
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Hawai'i 19% Underdog
Nevada 81% Favorite
Nevada is the model's favorite at 81%. Hawai'i has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.2 rating points baked in for Nevada — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Hawai'i offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Nevada offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup