Conference game
Nevada at North Dakota State
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nevada | 0 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 17 |
 North Dakota State Winner | 0 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: North Dakota State at 87%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Nevada 13% Underdog
North Dakota State 87% Favorite
North Dakota State is the model's favorite at 87%. Nevada has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for North Dakota State — venue-specific learned value (n=4 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- North Dakota State recap North Dakota State: 2026 Week 7 recap North Dakota State remains unbeaten at 5-0, holding steady at a GIE rating of 7.8 and ranked 45th nationally. The Bison throttled Wyoming 28-0 in Week 5, a dominant defensive performance that kept them on track. Their red-zone efficiency…
- Nevada recap Nevada: 2026 Week 7 recap Nevada sits at 1–3 and hasn't budged in GIE's ratings since last week, holding steady at 95th nationally with a minus-6.5 rating. The Wolf Pack's loss to Air Force in Week 4 epitomizes their season: they were home, scored 33 points, and…