New Mexico State at Florida State
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico State | 0 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 17 |
 Florida State Winner | 3 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: Florida State at 95%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
New Mexico State 5% Underdog
Florida State 95% Favorite
Florida State is the model's favorite at 95%. New Mexico State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.1 rating points baked in for Florida State — venue-specific night-game value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- New Mexico State recap New Mexico State: 2026 Week 11 recap New Mexico State sits at 3–5 with a rating of –13.4, holding steady at 119th nationally. The Aggies got shutout at home by Jacksonville State 24–0 in Week 9, a result that underscores deeper offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of just…
- Florida State recap Florida State: 2026 Week 11 recap Florida State sits at 3–5 with a rating of 5.8, holding rank 53 after a flat week. The Seminoles' most recent outing—a 36–24 home loss to Clemson in Week 9—exposed familiar weaknesses: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 20% and third-down…