2026 Week 2
Buffalo at Florida International
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Pitbull Stadium
Buffalo
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Florida International
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.5
- National rank
- 115
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Buffalo
52%
Florida International
48%
Florida International 90% CI: 38% – 57% Δ rating 1.8
Buffalo is the model's favorite at 52%. Florida International has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Florida International — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Buffalo offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida International offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
86°F
Precipitation
6%
Wind
14 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Pitbull Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No